Omg dis buk no work is glitch? Halp pls
Please. Stop making these threads because you failed 4 books in a row. I've failed 15 books in a row over 2 bil, doesn't mean that every bit of bad luck is a glitch.
January 8, 2013
12 Comments • Newest first
[quote=GrammarJew]Alright, makes sense. Please accept my apologies
I'm pissing off a lot of people tonight LOL[/quote]
Its cool <3 Had me occupied for the boring class im in so no hurt feelings
[quote=Bosnie1996]@GrammarJew Thanks for admitting Peace?
No, my english is not my first language and Norwegians are exacly known for they're english spelling abilities and therefore you might experience me as childish. But in fact you didn't have reply to me with the tone you had when i simply replied with me disagreeing.[/quote]
Alright, makes sense. Please accept my apologies
I'm pissing off a lot of people tonight LOL
theoretical probability vs experimental probability
success rate percentages are just numbers really
on a sidenote, i only got i believe 3 out of 12 60% chaos to work T_T
@GrammarJew Thanks for admitting Peace?
No, my english is not my first language and Norwegians are exacly known for they're english spelling abilities and therefore you might experience me as childish. But in fact you didn't have reply to me with the tone you had when i simply replied with me disagreeing.
[quote=koolmunki]@GramarJew it seems you dont understand exponentials. yes each book is 50% = 1 in every 2 fails.
however the probability of continuously failing books exponentially decreases.
2 failing in a row = 1/2 ^ 2 = 1/4
3 failing in a row = 1/2 ^ 3 = 1/8
4 failing in a row = 1/2 ^ 4 = 1/16
the probability of 2 failing in a row is 25%. the probability of 4 ? about 7%.
you failing 15 ? .00003 3/10000 approximately 1/3333 chance happening[/quote]
Fair enough. I'm not exactly the world's best math student so I guess it is hypocritical of me to go around correcting people. However, the urge to blame everything on a glitch is what irks me
One more thing: I wish it wasn't true that I failed 15 books
@Bosnie1996
"More and more people failing consecutive books"? From what I've seen, this is a rare occurrence, and the responses in every thread made about this have been that it was only the OP and one or two other guys who were experiencing it, which is pretty normal.
I was neither butthurt, nor were you destroying my point. In fact, you continue to prove it with your terrible spelling and grammar. I won't berate you if English isn't your first language, but I will for reacting so childishly.
[quote=GrammarJew]*deinitely/*coincidence/*a lot
50% =/= 1 in every 2 books. 50% means there's a 50% chance every time you use the book, that it will fail. This chance is not in any way affectd by the previous results. Just like tossibg a coin; just because it lands heads twice in a row doesn't mean the coin is rigged. Unless Nexon deliberately changed the variables in their coding just to troll us (which you'd have to be pretty stupid to believe)
Not only do you not understand percentages, but also can't spell. Congratulations.[/quote]
At least ur living up to you're name a$$hole... And yes i know when it has a 50% chance to work it also has a 50% to fail EVERYTIME. But when ur such small minded that you can't understand that when more and more people are failing 6-7 and up 8 books in a row and thats not a glitch or change, idk what do do? </3
And one more thing, dont be too butthurt because im ruining ur point.
[quote=IhasMoolah]**definitely
Sorry, just had to. (I'm going to assume that it's a typo.)[/quote]
Yep, my bad. I will leave it there for reference.
[quote=GrammarJew]*deinitely/*coincidence/*a lot
50% =/= 1 in every 2 books. 50% means there's a 50% chance every time you use the book, that it will fail. This chance is not in any way affectd by the previous results. Just like tossibg a coin; just because it lands heads twice in a row doesn't mean the coin is rigged. Unless Nexon deliberately changed the variables in their coding just to troll us (which you'd have to be pretty stupid to believe)
Not only do you not understand percentages, but also can't spell. Congratulations.[/quote]
**definitely
Sorry, just had to. (I'm going to assume that it's a typo.)
@GramarJew it seems you dont understand exponentials. yes each book is 50% = 1 in every 2 fails.
however the probability of continuously failing books exponentially decreases.
2 failing in a row = 1/2 ^ 2 = 1/4
3 failing in a row = 1/2 ^ 3 = 1/8
4 failing in a row = 1/2 ^ 4 = 1/16
the probability of 2 failing in a row is 25%. the probability of 4 ? about 7%.
you failing 15 ? .00003 3/10000 approximately 1/3333 chance happening
[quote=Bosnie1996]There has definitly been some glitch or change in the %chances on books without them changing what stands on the book it self. Its not a coinsidence when so many people are failing ALOT more books than they used to[/quote]
*deinitely/*coincidence/*a lot
50% =/= 1 in every 2 books. 50% means there's a 50% chance every time you use the book, that it will fail. This chance is not in any way affectd by the previous results. Just like tossibg a coin; just because it lands heads twice in a row doesn't mean the coin is rigged. Unless Nexon deliberately changed the variables in their coding just to troll us (which you'd have to be pretty stupid to believe)
Not only do you not understand percentages, but also can't spell. Congratulations.
There has definitly been some glitch or change in the %chances on books without them changing what stands on the book it self. Its not a coinsidence when so many people are failing ALOT more books than they used to