This Yut game is rigged
Hi guys
Ive been playing this event 'Yut' game on maplestory and i noticed how it gives Do Gae Gul Yut Mo in a manner that is favouring for a player whoever is trying to catch the opponent's pawn.
Considering you throwing these 4 wooden sticks in a randomized fashion,
The probability of getting each number should be different.
Since you throw 4 sticks and see if it flips or not,
there are 2 events happening, 1 flip, 1 not flip
assuming these events happen in random manner,
there is a 50% chance of flipping a stick
Therefore there is a total of 16 different combined events happening
2 events(flip/not flip) x 2 events(flip/not flip) x 2 events(flip/not flip) x 2 events(flip/not flip) = 16.
Do flips 1, so 4/16 = 25%
Gae flips 2, 6/16 = 37.5%
Gul 4/16 = 25%
Yut 1/16 = 6%
Mo 1/16 = 6%
(rounded off)
I dont know what probability Nak, backdo are set as,
but i do see a lot of Yut and Mo happening and i do not see do or gae as much as gul.
I dont think nexon was smart enough to factor these in, or at least thought of the existence probability
Any thoughts on this rigged game?
(PS: im sorry for people who buy cubes which depends on nexons rigged probability. )
10 Comments • Newest first
Roll = luck
What you do with these rolls is "skill" or strategy if you will. If all you do is try to stack and get to the goal line then you will often times lose more than you win.
Try stacking your two pawns first gae, gul position then your opponent will 90%+ get the number where your pawns are and catches them.
It happens too often that you get the exact number to catch the opponent's piece, or vice versa.
Seems to me like you just got to this unit in precal and youre trying to make use of it. Well, in real life maybe that's how it goes, but obviously the game is programmed to work differently. don't waste your time and just play it. sometimes you do the best possibilities and still lose, it's a game of luck and somewhat strategy.
[quote=FriedClams]I gave up on Yut because too many times people would quit when they are losing and right before you can win. So even if they make the odds better you cannot stop people from being sore losers.[/quote]
That's so stupid on their behalf they won't even get their coin. Obviously suffering from a case of extreme injury of the butt
Honestly people make the worst plays like above mentioned its around 60% luck and 40% logic/common sense and rational thinking
I think it's rather fun, to take to risk of moving X piece to Z location with the chance that the opponent will roll the same number and catch your piece. Risk management and rational thinking is the key
I gave up on Yut because too many times people would quit when they are losing and right before you can win. So even if they make the odds better you cannot stop people from being sore losers.
when people win yut and say "gg"
you will not live to see yourself get another mo again
Won't the other guy you're up against have the same odds? o.o
[quote=freezenlight]TLDR
50% chance of winning 50% chance of losing.[/quote]
This is utterly wrong. There are two events, Losing and Winning but you just arbitrarily set the probability of these and did not consider the factors that result in these events.
TLDR
50% chance of winning 50% chance of losing.