General

Using 40%s help

if im using 40%'s and i need to get 9 slots and i want to perfect it how many of each scroll will i need..i cbf doing the math xD

May 3, 2014

7 Comments • Newest first

qwertyman362

thank you to the two above ^ thats what i was looking for and to the others yes i know each scroll has its own chance and technically i could scroll 10 in a row or fail them all but im just wondering

Reply May 3, 2014
Narwhol

Statistically:
First pass through: 9 x .4 = 3.6. Lets say 4 pass. then 5 x .4= 2. then 3 x .4 = 1.2. Call it 1. Then 2 x .2 = .4. 2 tries x 2 slots = 4. Then 3 tries for the last slot. Total is 9 + 5 + 3 + 1 + 4 + 3 = approximately 24 scrolls.

Reply May 3, 2014
nopaycheck

We know there's a 40% chance of pass, or you could say 4 out 10 will pass.
Let x = the scale factor that results in the # of trials of success you want.
4x = 9 ; x = 2.25
Now multiply 2.25 by 10 to get the # of scrolls you would most likely need, which results in 22~23 scrolls.
Easy.

Reply May 3, 2014 - edited
ClericBoi81

There is no way of knowing. The 40% chance of passing is independent of each scroll. You could use 100 scrolls and fail each one because the system doesn't keep track of your cumulative scroll usage, it just tracks the % of 1 scroll at a time and resets after the scroll is used.

Reply May 3, 2014 - edited
shusukeda1st

Well out of 10 scrolls use will pass So about 30 scrolls would do it.

Reply May 3, 2014 - edited
qwertyman362

yeah i know but hypothetically what amount of scrolls will i need?

Reply May 3, 2014 - edited
Samygxz85

it doesnt work like that, you could fail 10 scrolls in a row or pass 9 in a row and all ur calculations would be useless

Reply May 3, 2014 - edited