General

Scrolling simulator, graphing outcome of scrolls.

[header]Hello![/header]
Recently I finished a small project, a scrolling simulator.

I've been interested in the outcome of multiple scrolling events, that's the main reason as to why I created this.

[header]How it works[/header]
The program uses the binomial distrubution to calculate the probability for each event.

The binomial distrubution can be written as Bin(n,p) where n is the number of scrolls used and p is the success rate of the scrolls that is used on the item.

Basically, what the program calculates is P(X <= k) - P(X <= K-1) = P(X = k) and X belongs to Bin(n, p). This calculation is made for each event.

[header]The simulator[/header]

[b]Screenshot: [/b][url=http://i55.tinypic.com/1z6b8rn.png]Screen[/url]
[b]Virus scan: [/b][url=http://i53.tinypic.com/mbiftl.png]virus scan[/url] (result 0/43) can't post the link to the scan because it's censored, however, the link can be seen in the pic.

Download link: http://www.megaupload.com/?d=V3UCAUEF and http://data.fuskbugg.se/skalman02/4ddc1536d6d5a_scrollingsimulator.rar

[b]The full source code is included in the file above if you want to compile it yourself![/b]

[header]Comments[/header]
Any comments and suggestions is apreciated.

If you have any suggestion regarding in-game probability just post it and I may be able to add it later. I've been thinking of adding a enhancement scroll simulator also.

May 24, 2011

9 Comments • Newest first

Kevvl

[quote=robindgt]Just watch as Nexon shuts you down.
See: Bannedstory[/quote]
That'd be impossible since there's absolutely no Maple material in this. It just calculates percentages~

Reply May 26, 2011
nivlek321

I just happen to be eating hot dogs while reading this thread.

Reply May 25, 2011
jonatan

@GodSyde:
Aha.

By the way, what's the success rates for enhancement scrolls?

Reply May 25, 2011
GodSyde

@jonatan: I think it would tell you the certain percentange for the next 10% or 60% scroll to work

Reply May 25, 2011
jonatan

@GodSyde:
I think the one you are talking about is just for testing scrolls, right? Not calculating the probability for all of the possible outcomes?

Reply May 25, 2011
GodSyde

@jonatan: I coulda sworn there was a scrolling simulator online but it wasn't an actual file,but who knows,it was back in 2005-2006 if i remember correctly good job though!

Reply May 25, 2011
jonatan

@Kevvl:
I wasn't so sure on the scrolls that exist so I just added the ones that I know exist. Adding new ones is really easy though.

@GodSyde:
I don't know.

Reply May 25, 2011
GodSyde

Something like this was created already,wasn't it?

Reply May 25, 2011
Kevvl

Would be nice if you could pick and choose multiple sets of scrolls. Like having a few 30%'s to start then finishing with 10%'s or something. Also note that 15%, 20%, 50%, and 65% scrolls exist.

For those wondering, file is totally clean.

Reply May 25, 2011