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Sao Beater Medal Clear Count Predictions

UPDATE 9/20: Adjusted to more realistic runs.

I noticed I finish a Normal run in 3 mins or less regardless of character level, so I updated it.

3 out of 15 mins. All normal speed runs.
Excluding unscheduled maintenance, failed runs, if event ends a day early, premium runs, or cost of separate (5) SAO coins of 400 NX.
Only using 30 SAO coins bundle for 2300 NX in calculations.

Max 480 clears/day in 24 hours. 13440 max total clears in 28 days.

Shared account: 2-hours break. 440 clears/day. (Shared account not allowed, but players still do it.)
Solo account: 4-hrs break 400 clears/day. 6-hrs break 360 clears/day. 8-hrs break 320 clears/day. 10-hrs break 280 clears/day.
Average Mapler: 12-hrs break 240 clears/day. 14-hrs break 200 clears/day. 16-hrs break 160 clears/day. 18-hrs break 120 clears/day. 20-hrs break 80 clears/day. 22 hrs break 40 clears/day.

Shared account: 12320 total clears.
Solo account: 11200, 10080, 8960, 7840 total clears.
Average Mapler: 6720, 5600, 4480, 3360, 2240, 1120 total clears.

How much will it cost me depending on how much break I need in a 24-hr day?

Assuming 3 extra runs for every 10 runs from SAO box coins with total cut in half because you probably won't be that lucky everyday.
3 coins per Normal run so 30 coins is 10 runs for 2300 NX + 28 free daily total runs. (Both free SAO BOX coin runs and free daily runs included in calculations).

For example, 20 clears/day, 3 free runs every 10 runs, 1 free daily run, =
20/10 = 2 * 3 = 6 + 1 = 7 free runs
20 total runs - 7 total free runs = 13 paid runs / 10 runs for 30 coins = 1.3 * 2300 NX = 2990 NX

Shared account:
70610 NX = ~$70.61/day ~$1977.08 total, 2-hrs break, 12320 total clears

Solo account:
64170 NX = ~$64.17/day ~$1796.76 total, 4-hrs break, 11200 total clears
57730 NX = ~$57.73/day ~$1616.44 total, 6-hrs break, 10080 total clears
51290 NX = ~$51.29/day ~$1436.12 total, 8-hrs break, 8960 total clears
44850 NX = ~$44.85/day ~$1255.80 total, 10-hrs break, 7840 total clears

Average Mapler:
38410 = $38.41/day ~$1075.48 total, 12-hrs break, 6720 total clears
31970 = $31.97/day ~$895.16 total, 14-hrs break, 5600 total clears
25530 = $25.53/day ~$714.84 total, 16-hrs break, 4480 total clears
19090 = $19.09/day ~$534.52 total, 18-hrs break, 3360 total clears
12650 = $12.65/day ~$354.20 total, 20-hrs break, 2240 total clears
6210 = $6.21/day ~$173.88 total, 22-hrs break, 1120 total clears
4600 = $4.60/day ~$128.80 total, 22-hrs break, 840 total clears (Adding in someone who buys a 30 coin bundle three times a day for 30 clears/day)
2990 = $2.99/day ~$83.72 total, 22-hrs break, 560 total clears (Adding in someone who buys a 30 coin bundle twice a day for 20 clears/day)

Therefore, I predict TOP 15 will be between 1000 to 9000 total clears because I don't see anyone spending more than $1500 even with illegitimate NX buying.

If I miscalculated, please fix them and post it.

September 18, 2014

9 Comments • Newest first

Doutei

u forget: Server checks, unsched checks, sleep and partial dc/bugging up from entering/finishing the dungeon.
the only servers that are going to be wasting $$ are scania/bera/windia.
also its the top '[b]15[/b]" not first place. so spend with care in that respect.

Reply September 18, 2014
silverphoenix

Black Swordsman is good enough......

Reply September 18, 2014
SodiumOH

The entire Renegades server will get the medal (3 will be unclaimed).

IMO, if you put that MUCH effort/time/money just to get the medal, YOU LOSE (irl).

Reply September 18, 2014
AntiSenpai

Medal is not worth the time or money that would be put into it, not even super crazies would do all that. What will actually happen is that someone will do it all for free and then anvil it over a tradeable medal then pass it around till we see tons of Beaters, like we did with the I'm a Lucky Guy medal.

Reply September 18, 2014
RazoRZed

[quote=nitsua2789]I'm not sure I understand what you mean by shared or solo account, the rankings are based on a character basis. Only the highest character from your account is used to determine your clear ranking as you can only get 1 medal per account. Also each normal run only takes about 3 minutes if you do it properly.

You also have to factor in the probability of enough people actually dedicating that much time / money into a single medal. Soooooooo many people are being incredibly cynical about the scenario which means its actually pretty likely that most of the populace wont even try for fear that they wont actually get the medal.[/quote]

but then there are those who also think like you and think that they themselves should go for it because supposedly most people will be doubting themselves, this kind of event isnt something you can calculate how many runs per day is needed to clear it, you can only make an assumption and stick to your opinion, i personally am going to go for this medal but im not gunna play that many hours a day during the week but i will drop 100-150k a weekend on runs but thats just me, but based on my information you cannot judge how many runs everyone else is going to need to surpass me or for me to surpass someone else ill just have to hope im close to getting it

Reply September 18, 2014
nitsua2789

I'm not sure I understand what you mean by shared or solo account, the rankings are based on a character basis. Only the highest character from your account is used to determine your clear ranking as you can only get 1 medal per account. Also each normal run only takes about 3 minutes if you do it properly.

You also have to factor in the probability of enough people actually dedicating that much time / money into a single medal. Soooooooo many people are being incredibly cynical about the scenario which means its actually pretty likely that most of the populace wont even try for fear that they wont actually get the medal.

Reply September 18, 2014
RazoRZed

step one- go to renegades, step two clear it 10 times within event period, step three- be the only one in renegades with the medal
*be the only one in renegades

Reply September 18, 2014 - edited
TurtleSlaves

Damn you have a lot of time on your hands.

I'm impressed though.

Reply September 18, 2014 - edited
HalloweenTown

Or... i dont need the medal after all.... whats it gonna add? like 5k or less range tops.... (depending on person)... to many people going for it and my wallet cries when it sees this...

Reply September 18, 2014 - edited